It Will Take Months for the Oil, Gas and LNG Markets to Stabilize, and the New Floor Is Around $82

The Iran war has delivered the largest supply shock in energy-market history, with Gulf producers shutting in roughly 9 million barrels per day (bpd) of crude and related liquids. While a potential two-week ceasefire has sparked some price relief, analysts and the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) agree that full market stabilization will take months […]

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ExxonMobil Sees 6% of Global Output Impacted by Iran War, But What Does This Mean for Q1 and Q2?

ExxonMobil Corp. (XOM) disclosed on April 8, 2026, that the ongoing Iran war has knocked out approximately 6% of its global first-quarter production. The disruption stems from widespread paralysis in Persian Gulf energy infrastructure, including direct hits on facilities where Exxon holds stakes. While the volume loss is notable, sharply higher oil and LNG prices […]

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California Running on Empty

We are confirming the panel discussion for next Wednesday and are excited to visit with Professor Mische and Mike Ariza on this national crisis unfolding. This article is only a warm-up for next week and is really just my show notes to get questions ready. After sitting in on a town hall with Professor Mische […]

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Goldman Sachs Says Oil Price Shocks Are Looming: Global Diesel, Gasoline, and Refined Products Crisis Unfolds with Rationing Timelines by Region

As the Iran war enters its fifth week and the Strait of Hormuz remains effectively closed, Goldman Sachs has issued a stark warning in its April 2026 report titled “Are We Running Out of Oil?” The bank’s analysts, led by Yulia Zhestkova Grigsby, conclude that the world is indeed facing acute physical shortages of crude […]

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