It Will Take Months for the Oil, Gas and LNG Markets to Stabilize, and the New Floor Is Around $82

The Iran war has delivered the largest supply shock in energy-market history, with Gulf producers shutting in roughly 9 million barrels per day (bpd) of crude and related liquids. While a potential two-week ceasefire has sparked some price relief, analysts and the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) agree that full market stabilization will take months […]

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California Running on Empty

We are confirming the panel discussion for next Wednesday and are excited to visit with Professor Mische and Mike Ariza on this national crisis unfolding. This article is only a warm-up for next week and is really just my show notes to get questions ready. After sitting in on a town hall with Professor Mische […]

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Goldman Sachs Says Oil Price Shocks Are Looming: Global Diesel, Gasoline, and Refined Products Crisis Unfolds with Rationing Timelines by Region

As the Iran war enters its fifth week and the Strait of Hormuz remains effectively closed, Goldman Sachs has issued a stark warning in its April 2026 report titled “Are We Running Out of Oil?” The bank’s analysts, led by Yulia Zhestkova Grigsby, conclude that the world is indeed facing acute physical shortages of crude […]

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220 Vessels Transited the Strait of Hormuz in March: A Deep Dive into Vessel Types, Cargo Destinations, Pipeline Bypass Volumes, and Global Fuel Export Bans

The Strait of Hormuz, one of the world’s most critical energy chokepoints, saw dramatically reduced maritime traffic in March 2026 amid ongoing regional tensions following U.S.-Israeli strikes on Iran and subsequent Iranian restrictions on shipping. According to data shared by MarineTraffic and analytics firm Kpler, a total of just 220 vessels transited the strait during […]

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Tanker Struck Just North of Dubai

In the latest escalation of maritime attacks in the Persian Gulf amid the ongoing Iran conflict, a fully laden Kuwaiti crude oil supertanker was struck early Tuesday by what authorities described as an Iranian drone or an unknown projectile while anchored in Dubai waters. The incident occurred at approximately 12:10 a.m. local time in Anchorage, […]

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Saudi Pipeline Hits 7 Million BPD Goal Bypassing the Strait of Hormuz

In a remarkable display of strategic foresight and engineering resilience, Saudi Arabia has ramped its East-West Pipeline—also known as the Petroline—to full capacity of 7 million barrels per day (bpd), fully bypassing the disrupted Strait of Hormuz. This milestone comes at a critical moment. The ongoing Iran conflict has effectively closed the Strait of Hormuz […]

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What are the potential timelines for energy disruptions from the Strait of Hormuz

The Strait of Hormuz remains effectively closed amid the ongoing U.S.-Israel conflict with Iran, halting nearly all tanker traffic through the critical chokepoint that normally carries about 20% of global oil and LNG trade, along with roughly 5 million barrels per day (mbd) of refined petroleum products. JP Morgan Commodities Research has modeled the ripple […]

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